What If
Small groups examine speculative scenario cards to uncover unseen risks, creative workarounds, and alternative project paths. Teams record responses on sticky notes and share top findings with the room.
Choose this exercise
Purpose: Surface non-obvious risks and practical opportunities by applying hypothetical constraints or shifts to an existing challenge.
Use it when: Use during planning or strategy sessions when a team is stuck in conventional thinking or needs to stress-test an initiative.
Skip it when: Skip when the team requires immediate tactical execution on fixed tasks with zero room for exploration.
Group arrangement: Small groups of 4 to 6 participants (a group of 3 or 7 is acceptable when numbers do not divide evenly)
Timing: Participatory Methods suggests 30 to 60 minutes; set to 35 minutes for a structured sprint.
Materials and tools
- One set of What If scenario cards per group (cards 1 to 6 from participant materials)
- One pad of sticky notes per group
- One marker per participant
- One flip chart sheet or whiteboard space per group
Before participants arrive
- Select or print one copy of the scenario card set for each small group.
- Place flip chart paper, sticky note pads, and markers at each small group table.
- Write the central project or challenge clearly on a visible main board.
Say this to open
We usually approach problems within our everyday boundaries. Today we will use 'What If' scenarios to test our assumptions. Each group will take a hypothetical prompt, treat it as immediate reality, and map out what we would actually do, what risks emerge, and what unexpected opportunities appear. Choose one person at your table to take notes.
How to run it
Introduce challenge and prompts 5 minutes
State the central challenge. Read the opening script and prompt each group to name a note-taker. Distribute the prompt card sets face down. Instruct groups to turn over card 1, spend 2 minutes silently writing initial reactions on sticky notes without speaking, and then open table conversation.
Small group exploration 15 minutes
Groups discuss their prompt and post notes on their flip chart. For example, if the card reads 'What if our budget were cut in half?', members map workarounds and immediate operational risks. If a group finishes early, invite them to write their own custom scenario on the blank card provided.
Group synthesis and selection 5 minutes
Ask each table to sort their notes into two columns: Risks and Practical Opportunities. Have each team select and star the single most useful insight or workaround to share with the wider room.
Whole-room shareout 6 minutes
Call on one spokesperson from each small group to read their prompt and explain their single starred insight in under 60 seconds. Limit room sharing to one speaker per table so all groups report within the allotted time.
Debrief and transition 4 minutes
Facilitate a brief whole-room reflection using the debrief questions. Collect flip chart sheets for documentation and move to next agenda items.
Debrief questions
- Which hypothetical scenario revealed the most surprising workaround?
- What ideas surfaced that we could test right now, even if that extreme condition never happens?
Finished output: Flip chart sheets with categorized risk and opportunity sticky notes, highlighting at least one starred action or insight per group.
Remote
Set up breakout rooms of 4 to 6 people. Provide a digital board (such as Miro or Padlet) with pre-loaded prompt cards for each room. Participants spend 2 minutes silently posting sticky notes, discuss for 13 minutes, cluster into Risks and Opportunities, and star one item. Reconvene for 60-second table shareouts.
Hybrid
Keep in-person attendees in table groups using physical cards and flip charts. Place remote attendees together in online breakout rooms using a shared digital board. Keep prompt text and clocks synchronized across both settings. Alternate between an in-person table spokesperson and a remote group spokesperson during the shareout.
Access and participation choices
- Display prompt text on a shared screen and offer printed large-text cards at tables.
- Participants may contribute by writing notes, speaking in discussion, or clustering notes silently.
- Any participant may pass on reading cards aloud or acting as group spokesperson without explanation.
If the session gets stuck
- Groups reject the hypothetical premise as unrealistic.
- Remind them the exercise tests priorities, not probability. Ask: 'If this happened tomorrow with zero appeal, what is the very first thing you would protect?'
- One participant dominates the small group conversation.
- Enforce the 2 minutes of silent note writing before table talk begins, ensuring all members post their ideas first.
Terms used here
- Speculative Prompt: A hypothetical 'What if' question that temporarily removes or adds a major constraint to reveal new thinking.
Sample 'What If' Scenario Cards
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Help me prepare and run the exercise below. First ask for my participant count, time, setting, access needs and intended result. Check these against the stated limits. Use the supplied rules and materials. Explain any proposed changes before using them, and label them as adaptations. Do not invent source claims or require personal disclosure. Give me one step at a time when I say start. I manage the people, physical activity and clock; do not claim to observe the room. Ask me what happened before choosing a next step. Reference revision: 55b678db91a11fe6fae2b11fd79cc0f7975f5091e5d67d6b9fcf5fd8471b6c4a # What If Small groups examine speculative scenario cards to uncover unseen risks, creative workarounds, and alternative project paths. Teams record responses on sticky notes and share top findings with the room. **Time:** 35 minutes. Participatory Methods suggests 30 to 60 minutes; set to 35 minutes for a structured sprint. **People:** 4 to 24. Small groups of 4 to 6 participants (a group of 3 or 7 is acceptable when numbers do not divide evenly) ## Choose this exercise **Purpose:** Surface non-obvious risks and practical opportunities by applying hypothetical constraints or shifts to an existing challenge. **Use it when:** Use during planning or strategy sessions when a team is stuck in conventional thinking or needs to stress-test an initiative. **Skip it when:** Skip when the team requires immediate tactical execution on fixed tasks with zero room for exploration. ## Materials and tools - One set of What If scenario cards per group (cards 1 to 6 from participant materials) - One pad of sticky notes per group - One marker per participant - One flip chart sheet or whiteboard space per group ## Before participants arrive 1. Select or print one copy of the scenario card set for each small group. 2. Place flip chart paper, sticky note pads, and markers at each small group table. 3. Write the central project or challenge clearly on a visible main board. ## Say this to open We usually approach problems within our everyday boundaries. Today we will use 'What If' scenarios to test our assumptions. Each group will take a hypothetical prompt, treat it as immediate reality, and map out what we would actually do, what risks emerge, and what unexpected opportunities appear. Choose one person at your table to take notes. ## How to run it ### 1. Introduce challenge and prompts (5 minutes) State the central challenge. Read the opening script and prompt each group to name a note-taker. Distribute the prompt card sets face down. Instruct groups to turn over card 1, spend 2 minutes silently writing initial reactions on sticky notes without speaking, and then open table conversation. ### 2. Small group exploration (15 minutes) Groups discuss their prompt and post notes on their flip chart. For example, if the card reads 'What if our budget were cut in half?', members map workarounds and immediate operational risks. If a group finishes early, invite them to write their own custom scenario on the blank card provided. ### 3. Group synthesis and selection (5 minutes) Ask each table to sort their notes into two columns: Risks and Practical Opportunities. Have each team select and star the single most useful insight or workaround to share with the wider room. ### 4. Whole-room shareout (6 minutes) Call on one spokesperson from each small group to read their prompt and explain their single starred insight in under 60 seconds. Limit room sharing to one speaker per table so all groups report within the allotted time. ### 5. Debrief and transition (4 minutes) Facilitate a brief whole-room reflection using the debrief questions. Collect flip chart sheets for documentation and move to next agenda items. ## Debrief questions - Which hypothetical scenario revealed the most surprising workaround? - What ideas surfaced that we could test right now, even if that extreme condition never happens? **Finished output:** Flip chart sheets with categorized risk and opportunity sticky notes, highlighting at least one starred action or insight per group. ## Remote Set up breakout rooms of 4 to 6 people. Provide a digital board (such as Miro or Padlet) with pre-loaded prompt cards for each room. Participants spend 2 minutes silently posting sticky notes, discuss for 13 minutes, cluster into Risks and Opportunities, and star one item. Reconvene for 60-second table shareouts. ## Hybrid Keep in-person attendees in table groups using physical cards and flip charts. Place remote attendees together in online breakout rooms using a shared digital board. Keep prompt text and clocks synchronized across both settings. Alternate between an in-person table spokesperson and a remote group spokesperson during the shareout. ## Access and participation choices - Display prompt text on a shared screen and offer printed large-text cards at tables. - Participants may contribute by writing notes, speaking in discussion, or clustering notes silently. - Any participant may pass on reading cards aloud or acting as group spokesperson without explanation. ## If the session gets stuck **Groups reject the hypothetical premise as unrealistic.** Remind them the exercise tests priorities, not probability. Ask: 'If this happened tomorrow with zero appeal, what is the very first thing you would protect?' **One participant dominates the small group conversation.** Enforce the 2 minutes of silent note writing before table talk begins, ensuring all members post their ideas first. ## Terms used here - Speculative Prompt: A hypothetical 'What if' question that temporarily removes or adds a major constraint to reveal new thinking. ## Participant material: Sample 'What If' Scenario Cards Card 1: What if our delivery timeline was cut in half? Card 2: What if we had to deliver this project with zero additional software tools? Card 3: What if our primary user base shifted completely to people over age 65? Card 4: What if we had to partner with our direct competitor to solve this? Card 5: What if we removed the final review step completely? Card 6: [Blank Card] What if ________________________________________? ## Sources and adaptation Observed in Participatory Methods library and SessionLab IAF Library under the title 'What If' and 'What if...?'. Preserved core 'What If' speculative framing, card prompts, and small-group approach from Participatory Methods. Sized to a 35-minute run sheet, added silent note-writing to balance participation, established a 2-column synthesis (Risks vs Practical Opportunities), and included adaptable group sizing for odd counts. [Participatory Methods](https://participatorymethods.com/activities/what) [Participatory Methods](https://participatorymethods.com/activities/what-if/) [SessionLab](https://www.sessionlab.com/methods/what-if) Current run sheet: https://unitedwetransform.com/exercises/what-if/
Sources and adaptation
Observed in Participatory Methods library and SessionLab IAF Library under the title 'What If' and 'What if...?'.
Preserved core 'What If' speculative framing, card prompts, and small-group approach from Participatory Methods. Sized to a 35-minute run sheet, added silent note-writing to balance participation, established a 2-column synthesis (Risks vs Practical Opportunities), and included adaptable group sizing for odd counts.
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