Prediction Markets
Turn your employees into visionaries that can truly help guide the direction of your organization. Take full advantage of the variety and experience your team has to offer.
How to run it
- Do you allow other points of view or possibilities to come into play?
- (a proven effect where people talk to the same people and convince themselves they are right) Warning: Some leaders and gathering organizers do not want to learn about the information that prediction markets can provide Turn to a prediction market to get new answers and develop relationships in those markets that will last a lifetime: 1.Place participants i...
- List skills, industries, hobbies, degrees etc
- Prediction markets aggregate the collective knowledge of a group to reach a conclusion - USE the collective knowledge of your diverse team b.Assign price values to probabilities as they would in securities markets i.List the values of the market sub-segments you are currently in as an organization or gathering objective
- Try to list at least ten and then rank them
- Now take your assigned values market elements and work backwards to see how the skills in your group can guess the importance of each i
- “Estimation markets” help determine an objectively knowable answer via group input ii
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Prompts to use +
Do you allow other points of view or possibilities to come into play?
(a proven effect where people talk to the same people and convince themselves they are right) Warning: Some leaders and gathering organizers do not want to learn about the information that prediction markets can provide Turn to a prediction market to get new answers and develop relationships in those markets that will last a lifetime: 1.Place participants i...
List skills, industries, hobbies, degrees etc
Prediction markets aggregate the collective knowledge of a group to reach a conclusion - USE the collective knowledge of your diverse team b.Assign price values to probabilities as they would in securities markets i.List the values of the market sub-segments you are currently in as an organization or gathering objective
Try to list at least ten and then rank them
Now take your assigned values market elements and work backwards to see how the skills in your group can guess the importance of each i
Run this with your AI assistant +
Works with Claude, ChatGPT, Gemini, or your own local model: paste this prompt and your AI will co-facilitate this exercise with you.
Adapt this exercise for my exact room. Exercise: Prediction Markets. Readiness: Publishable Draft. Core moves: Do you allow other points of view or possibilities to come into play?; (a proven effect where people talk to the same people and convince themselves they are right) Warning: Some leaders and gathering organizers do not want to learn about the information that prediction markets can provide Turn to a prediction market to get new answers and develop relationships in those markets that will last a lifetime: 1.Place participants i...; List skills, industries, hobbies, degrees etc; Prediction markets aggregate the collective knowledge of a group to reach a conclusion - USE the collective knowledge of your diverse team b.Assign price values to probabilities as they would in securities markets i.List the values of the market sub-segments you are currently in as an organization or gathering objective. Return a concise facilitator script with timing, wording, safety notes, and remote/in-person adjustments.
Origin unverified
- Where we observed it: The strongest current observations come from Relationship Makers Handbook; aggregators are listed as additional observations, not origin proof. (1 source observed, including Relationship Makers Handbook.)
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- No efficacy claims: appearing in this library is not a claim that the exercise is proven effective. Facilitator judgment and context decide whether it works for a given room.
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